Conflict Trends & Analysis

Statistical analysis of conflict patterns, intensity trends, and key insights from 50 months of documented warfare since February 24, 2022.

Months of Data

50

Avg Events/Month

2,476

Avg Fatalities/Month

17,159

Years Covered

5

Monthly Conflict Events (Last 24 Months)

Peak Activity Months

Most Events in a Month
March 2022
4,615events
86% above average
Deadliest Month
March 2022
32,296fatalities
88% above average

Year-over-Year Events

2022
31,992
2023
▼ 5%30,480
2024
▼ 4%29,324
2025
▼ 1%29,119
2026
▼ 90%2,902

* 2026 shows partial data through early February.

Quarterly Breakdown (Last 3 Years)

📊 Key Statistical Insights

  • •Over 123,817 documented conflict events since the full-scale invasion began.
  • •Average of 84 events per day across 1,477 days of conflict.
  • •The conflict peaked in early 2022 during the initial invasion phase, with monthly event counts exceeding 4,615 in March 2022.
  • •Combined documented fatalities exceed 857,960, though actual casualties are significantly higher.

🗺️ Geographic Concentration

  • •Donetsk Oblast: 19,956 events, 140,221 fatalities(16% of total)
  • •Kherson Oblast: 19,812 events, 135,810 fatalities(16% of total)
  • •Kharkiv Oblast: 19,788 events, 135,982 fatalities(16% of total)
  • •Luhansk Oblast: 19,784 events, 137,850 fatalities(16% of total)
  • •Zaporizhzhia Oblast: 19,760 events, 137,442 fatalities(16% of total)

Event Type Distribution

Recent Monthly Snapshots

Oct 25
2,260events16,275fatalities
Nov 25
2,437events17,146fatalities
Dec 25
2,635events18,356fatalities
Jan 26
2,509events17,413fatalities
Feb 26
323events2,146fatalities
Mar 26
70events594fatalitieslatest

Methodology

All data sourced from ACLED (Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project), which provides real-time documented conflict event data. Statistics are computed from 2022-02-24 to 2026-03-11. Monthly aggregations use calendar months. Trend percentages compare to period averages.

ACLED Data Portal →